A summary of the situation analyzed by the former U.S. ambassador

(1)This is from Foreign Affairs, published by the American Diplomatic Association
(2)Martin Indyk, the QA-type respondent to this article, served twice as the U.S. ambassador to Israel from 95-9700 to 01, and also served as the Special Envoy for Peace in the Middle East from 13 to 14 He was also vice president of Brookings Institution, 01-18
(3)No one reads the professional translation, so in summary
(4)Israel’s misjudgment
(5)- The situation that Israel is in right now is due to a total system failure
(6)- Israel was convinced that Hamas would not have the intention of launching a massive attack because the Palestinians would protest if it went to full-scale war
(7)- Israel decided that Hamas was focusing on a long-term ceasefire to benefit from the live-and-let-live state of each other’s own way. In fact, 190,000 workers came to Israel from Gaza to work every day
(8)- Israel’s arrogance that the powerful intelligence agency and the Israeli military’s IDF are so completely deceived is apparently one of the reasons why it does not have to solve a long-term problem because it can contain Hamas by force
(9)Why Hamas chose now
(10)It should be taken into account that the Arab world and Israel were reconciling and that even Saudi Arabia was discussing normalizing relations
(11)- Hamas and Iran should be viewed as cooperation rather than master-servant relations, but both sides agree that they want to disrupt the development of the current situation and attract more support from Arabs
(12)- Because of the current situation, the Palestinian issue has again emerged as the biggest issue in the Middle East, and Arabs across the Middle East will protest very loudly if they see American weapons in Israeli hands killing countless Palestinians
(13)Arab leaders such as MBS are reluctant to confront these public opinions. It is impossible to expect the courage to say that Hamas’ path to bring misfortune to them is wrong and that my way will bring more to the Palestinians
(14)Israel’s Government’s
(15)- Israel has already been through this five times and has a clear manual for it
(16)- It will mobilize troops, bomb Gaza from the air, and attempt to remove Hamas leadership
(17)- Israel could invade Gaza entirely if it fails to halt Hamas rocket launches and bring them to the negotiating table for hostage release
(18)- But that leads to another problem
(19)The international community will be blamed on the United States and Israel for the civilian casualties caused by Israeli forces holding high-tech U.S. weapons because they are fighting in densely populated areas, which will put pressure on the U.S. to stop the attacks
(20)- Even if the war is successful, the problem is that the post-occupation strategy of Gaza is already worth considering that Israel withdrew from Gaza in 2005 and has not wanted to go back
(21)Netanyahu’s Choice
(22)- Netanyahu, whom I’ve known for decades, both privately and publicly, is a former
(23)a man of great caution in the matter
(24)- Rather than starting an all-out war, try to negotiate the release of hostages after sufficiently punishing Hamas through air force to agree to a ceasefire. In other words, returning to the previous state
(25)- But that’s not likely to happen under the present circumstances, because Hamas’s intention is to induce massive Israeli retaliation to lead to a rise in the West Bank, Hezbollah attacks and resistance in Jerusalem
(26)the other party
(27)- The most important thing to look at in terms of expansion is Hezbollah
(28)- If the Palestinian death toll rises, Hezbollah will be able to bring this situation to a head
(29)You’ll be tempted to jump in, and they’re the main Israelites
(30)capable of bombarding the city with 150,000 rockets
(31)If this happens, all-out war in Lebanon, not just in Gaza
(32)It’s going to happen
(33)- Things have been going on for a long time in Saudi Egypt, Jordan, UAE and Bahrain
(34)If you lose, it will be hard to maintain relations with Israel
(35)I think he’ll be interested in calming down the situation and signing a cease-fire agreement
(36)the significance of this situation
(37)- The Yom Kippur War was ultimately won by Israel, but the Arabs
(38)They say they’re still celebrating their early triumphs after the air raid
(39)need to remember
(40)- Hamas’s attack will continue to do the same thing 50 years later
(41)What we can do is show that Hamas in the Arab world
(42)Arab leaders can care about it
(43)Only one
(44)- But it was East who fought the Sadayom Kippur War in Egypt
(45)It was intended to sign a peace agreement with Rael, but Hamas is Israel
(46)They’re trying to destroy and weaken it. They don’t care about peace
(47)It’s a big difference
(48)- In 1973, Israel, because they were so strong, was Egypt
(49)I thought I didn’t have to care about Syria
(50)And Elle, who will take full control of the recent Israeli-Palestinian problem
(51)I thought I was, and I’m in the same arrogance as I was in the war in Yum Ki-fu